Super Bowl Betting

Betting the Super Bowl

This is one of the most exciting times of the NFL season, the Super Bowl. This is the time where the two best teams, one from the NFC and the other from the AFC, are going head to head to find out which team is truly the best among the 32 total NFL teams. As this is the grand finale to the NFL season, many sports bettors have a tendency to do all the wrong things when placing their bets.

Bettors should try to stick to a proper money management strategy, as well as understand the differences between the regular season and the Super Bowl in order to better predict the outcome. There are even some betting systems that can be used by the bettors to get a better, more accurate prediction on the match.

Money Management during the Super Bowl

I am pretty sure that most, if you have not then please read up on the NFL Betting Basics, know and understand the proper methods of money management when placing sports wagers. They should also understand the reasons why it is so important to use the bankroll management techniques. With this in mind, betting during the Super Bowl is viewed as a once in a lifetime opportunity; bettors should not approach the Super Bowl with this mentality.

The problem with sports bettors and big games such as the Super Bowl is that they tend to bet much more than they should. Betting a larger portion of their bankroll seems like something normal when facing a larger and more popular matchup, but this is a deadly thought. What most bettors need to realize is that the Super Bowl, despite all of the hype, is just one more football match during the NFL season. The same way they approach the betting during the regular season is how they should approach the Super Bowl, at least in terms of wager amount. If a bettor is only placing 5% of their total bankroll on each wager, they should do the same for the Super Bowl match.

The odds will be the same as any regular match. Keep this in mind when the Super Bowl rolls around in January.

Super Bowl Differences

Whether a sports bettor is good at handicapping or basing their wagers on different data or intuition, they should all know that predicting the winner of the Super Bowl is very different than during the regular season. Sure, stats still weigh heavily, since it is how these teams have been performing during the current season, but there are other aspects that come into play that did not before.

Handicappers should continue to use the team and player stats, but rely mostly on the stats that were recorded during the Play Offs. The play offs are the closest kind of gameplay that the NFL teams will have to playing in the Super Bowl. The reason for this is that the play offs are single elimination, meaning teams have to rely on the full output of talent they can offer instead of basing their performance off of accumulation of points.

The entire Super Bowl is dependent on the outcome of one single performance, so during the Super Bowl the teams may strive to play harder or better than during the regular season. Keep these differences in mind when predicting the winners of the Super Bowl.

Super Bowl Point System

The Super Bowl point system was thought up by former NFL coach, Hank Stram. He believed this system was the closest and most accurate way of predicting the outcome of the Super Bowl and which team would be the ultimate winner. This system is easy to understand and even easier to do, although it does involve different types of stats. Before the actual matchup, the bettor will assign certain amount of points to each team depending on certain criteria.

Points Given

If a Team

10

Has won a Super Bowl in last three years

8

Whose opponent is playing in first Super Bowl of franchise history

8

Allowed the fewer defensive rushes

7

Best straight up win/loss record

7

Most offensive rushes

5

Lower defensive rush average per carry

4

Best net kick/punt touchdown returns

4

Better record against the point spread

4

Superior net penalty yards

3.5

Best yards per pass attempt

3.5

Given up the fewest points

3.5

Allowed the fewest rushing touchdowns

3

Has most sacks

2.5

Fewest offensive pass attempts

Whichever team ends up having the most points can be said to be the predicted winner of the match.

Point System Example

The two teams that have the highest odds so far for getting to the Super Bowl and fighting it out are the New England Patriots and the Green Bay Packers, so let’s pretend that these two teams have made it to the Super Bowl and are now ready to face off.

 

New England Patriots

Green Bay Packers

Reason

10

Has won a Super Bowl in last three years

Whose opponent is playing in first Super Bowl of franchise history

8

Allowed the fewer defensive rushes

7

Best straight up win/loss record

7

Most offensive rushes

5

Lower defensive rush average per carry

4

Best net kick/punt touchdown returns

4

Better record against the point spread

4

Superior net penalty yards

3.5

Best yards per pass attempt

3.5

Given up the fewest points

3.5

Allowed the fewest rushing touchdowns

3

Has most sacks

2

Fewest offensive pass attempts

Total Points

24

40.5

With their current stats, the Green Bay Packers have a much better chance of beating the New England Patriots during the Super Bowl; if the stats remain the same and both teams make it to the Super Bowl. Bettors should always be aware of the different stats and data that is necessary in order to give each team their respective points.